BOMBOGENESIS (a rapidly intensifying storm) will take place Tuesday afternoon off the Virginia coast.
Computer models had an extreme reversal on the intensity and track of this storm over the last 24-36 hours, and that’s why snow amounts were jacked up Monday as computer models came late to the snow party.
Hinting started to take place late Sunday as my forecast called for a significant storm for some with 4+ inches of snow possible across parts of New Jersey. But a big uptick in moisture being fed into the storm combined with a piece of the polar vortex sending another package of severe cold. This time, it gets pulled into the storm’s circulation leading to rapid intensification and high snow ratios.
Normally we receive a 10-1 ratio, with one inch of liquid equaling 10 inches of snow, but in this case we have an overall ratio of 13-1, to as much as 15-1, meaning more snow with less liquid.
This prediction is becoming an obsession in our area. Evidently a Berks County resident, who is also an amateur weather forecaster, is predicting the mother of all snow storms for March 7th. Lester Moyer, who writes Moyer’s Almanac, evidently successfully predicted the two major snow storms earlier this month. He is now predicting 40 inches of snow for March 7th (worse case scenario).
Let us sincerely hope he is dead wrong! The Farmer’s Almanac is predicting a temperature of 52 degrees for March 7th, with no snow.
We are certainly not out of the woods yet, snow wise. There is a prediction for more snow tomorrow (AccuWeather) with a total accumulation of 5 – 11 inches total. Snow will be starting Thursday morning with additional accumulation on Thursday night. However, the National Weather Service is predicting less than two inches for the same period.
We are finally getting the streets cleared and are starting to see people’s yards. I can see the curb on my street again!